Sky Sports activities Racing’s senior type analyst Jamie Lynch assesses the 14 runners within the November Handicap at Newcastle which is reside on Sky Sports activities Racing on Saturday…

It is the November Handicap, Jim, however not as we all know it. The rearrangement from Doncaster to Newcastle has moved the goalposts, initially the swap in floor, serving to some and hindering others.

The sector is smaller than the standard 20+, all of which makes it a quite extra peculiar handicap than historically, although no lesser a regular, all bar two of the sector operating off a mark of 90 or increased. Let’s undergo them…..

TEUMESSIAS FOX

Jockey: Callum Hutchinson (3) | Coach: Andrew Balding

He is one for whom the swap to synthetics might be a constructive contemplating his final two all-weather makes an attempt resulted in wins by eight-and-a-half lengths and four-and-three-quarter lengths. Has been freshened up for this since an unfortunate fifth underneath prime weight within the Racing League occasion that labored out the most effective in the whole collection, and Callum Hutchinson’s declare successfully brings his mark again to sub-100, which is properly inside his means. Loads of upside.

Teumessias Fox ridden by jockey Oisin Murphy on their way to winning the Howden Handicap at Newmarket
Picture:
Teumessias Fox will shoulder prime weight at Newcastle

MR ALAN

Jason Hart | George Boughey

Would have been difficult for favouritism if the race was at its pure residence of unhealthy floor Doncaster as he is in his aspect underneath such circumstances, emphasised this autumn, when he has been profitable at Nottingham and simply pipped at Newmarket final week, proof he is higher than final yr (fifth in November Handicap), additionally more energizing, after his return was delayed till September. That is one occasion the place the vacation spot issues greater than the journey, Newcastle much less suitable with him than the Doncaster mud.

CHILLINGHAM

PJ McDonald | Ed Bethell

Possibly the tongue strap is the reply to the query of what is lacking? It is due to his dynamic growth as much as and together with Royal Ascot (fourth to Vauban and Absurde) that the query has come up since, twice overwhelmed favorite and in need of one thing, arduous to know precisely what. However the break is the refresher and the tongue tie is the treatment, probably not less than, and there is positively a way of unfinished enterprise about him. P.J McDonald is one/one on him.

EUCHEN GLEN

Paul Mulrennan | Jim Goldie

A winding-down warrior, Father Time assembly Mom Nature, therefore it is two-and-a-half years since he final received. Remarkably ran on this race approach again in 2017, unthreatening then and once more in 2020, although he was a short-head second within the Northumberland Vase in 2018, the one time he is been on the all-weather within the final six years.

LOCAL DYNASTY

William Buick | Charlie Appleby

Began the season on the periphery of the Derby image, reappearing within the Dee Stakes, however he received caught within the departure lounge like many of the secure’s three-year-olds, not taking off there nor in handicaps at Royal Ascot and the July Pageant. The reset button has been pressed with the lay-off and the gelding operation and if there is a horse who’ll take this race aside then it is him, nevertheless it’s arduous to suck up the brief odds when he is having his first go on the journey and on the all-weather.

Local Dynasty chases Burdett Road home at Royal Ascot
Picture:
Native Dynasty (centre) chases Burdett Highway residence at Royal Ascot

PRYDWEN

Sean Levey | George Scott

Beat one residence within the 2022 November Handicap however he isn’t a mudder, and the swap to synthetics this time is music to his ears, having received 3 times on the all-weather. A mark within the mid-90s has appeared his tipping level, however that is why first-time cheekpieces have been enlisted, and he is been freshened up for this, off since August. The actual fact he goes so properly on Tapeta ought to see him beat greater than beats him.

LAAFI

Cieren Fallon | William Haggas

You do not see many William Haggas handicappers go off at 20/1 however the reality Laafi did at Newmarket mirrored a stuttering season to that time, a nook turned, so says his easy success, however the dynamics are decidedly completely different right here, together with the basics of journey and floor. What’s extra, he will not be allowed the simple lead which was the method if not the facility behind his Newmarket reawakening.

PLEASANT MAN

Dylan Hogan | Jack Jones

Appeared the correct uncooked materials for hurdling as a three-year-old, the rationale why he value 175,000 guineas to get him on Paul Nicholls’ workforce, however his coronary heart was by no means in it, and now he is having to start out once more from scratch for a brand new yard, on a brand new floor to him.

BERAZ

Graham Lee | Julie Camacho

Section Three goes properly, one having been his basis in France and two his brief and bitter spell as a hurdler. Bar one blip he has gone from energy to energy in his time with Julie Camacho and the 3lb rise for his newest win at Leicester seems lenient on condition that was an particularly robust 0-90, to not point out that 10f is a naked minimal for him. From profile to type and strategy, each field is ticked besides all-weather, having by no means earlier than skilled it, not that it is a lot of a motive to carry again as of late.

SPLENDENT

Luke Morris | Paul and Oliver Cole

Had a Hungarian hotspot this summer time underneath Frankie Dettori however in and round that he is simply appeared to discover a mark within the 90s a bit past him. The plus factors if you’d like them are that he received at Newcastle in his youthful days and maps to be higher positioned than most in a race that will flip tactical.

FURZIG

Billy Garritty | Richard Fahey

Would not have made the minimize on turf, the place his mark is barely 78, however his cut up score (90 on all-weather) will get him entry, and he was increased nonetheless – raced off 100 – the final time we noticed him on synthetics. In brief, circumstances have given him an opportunity, as has the handicapper, however aged eight it is nonetheless asking a whole lot of him to outrun the youthful weapons, even when he’s a five-time winner on the all-weather.

ONESMOOTHOPERATOR

Ben Robinson | Brian Ellison

Out of the successful behavior however again on the boil recently and this can be a residence fixture for him, within the first three on seven of his 9 runs at Newcastle. This race is little or no higher than the 0-105 during which he wasn’t overwhelmed far into fifth over this course and distance final month, and he is a full of life longshot, extra so if the gallop is stronger in apply than on paper.

MUSTAZEED

Kaiya Fraser (5) | Harry Eustace

The race rearrangement has compromised his likelihood as Doncaster – the place he was overwhelmed solely by a resurgent Sure Lad final time – and delicate floor have served him properly, whereas he is zero-five on all-weather. Extra of a difficulty than the Tapeta is the journey, as he is pretty late in life for a departure in distance, going past 10f for the primary time.

STRUTH

Joe Fanning | Charlie Johnston

His successful return at Chester again in Could was one thing of a false daybreak because it has been sideways ever since, holding his personal all the identical, together with within the high-value Previous Rowley Cup final time at Newmarket the place he possibly did an excessive amount of too quickly. A 3-year-old from that secure lurking on the foot of the weights is an attractive proposition, although this will probably be his all-weather debut.

JAMIE LYNCH’S VERDICT

Litigant in 2015 is the one prime weight to win within the final 25 years, however the reality this can be a November Handicap with a twist – on the all-weather with a smaller subject – could imply that class counts, and TEUMESSIAS FOX matches the invoice completely as one who was twice fourth to Hamish in Group Threes this summer time and is a benefactor of the synthetics swap given his proficiency and effectivity on the all-weather.

Watch all of the motion from Newcastle on Saturday reside on Sky Sports activities Racing.

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